Asian League · resolved market
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d7f77ceb52788be4fd28e06ac3325050b7004b48f056f8920e67592177300b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $468,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 25c | 60,001$14,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,089.65 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 33,290$24,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,973.78 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 25c | 32,080$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,080.71 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 19c | 24,327$4,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,674.89 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 27c | 15,908$4,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,541.09 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 24c | 15,000$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,459.07 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 27c | 10,799$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,912.83 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 7,796$5,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,956.76 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Yes | 14c | 6,965$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,964.66 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 23c | 6,939$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,351.75 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 5,244$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.88 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 21c | 4,603$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.12 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 37c | 4,198$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.76 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 76c | 2,623$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes | 23c | 2,406$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.92 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Yes | 24c | 1,668$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.32 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 51c | 1,418$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.03 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 65c | 1,332$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.65 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 7c | 1,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 77c | 990.9$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.07 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 37c | 811.45$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.88 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 44c | 770.78$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.77 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 770.61$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.32 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked No | 76c | 743.43$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 36c | 640.8$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 629.37$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.85 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 11c | 551.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 48c | 525.59$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.63 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 7c | 517.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked No | 6c | 495.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 6c | 480$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed No | 3c | 466.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Yes | 6c | 426.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.88 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 11c | 423.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Yes | 36c | 417.79$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 35c | 413.89$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.03 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 35c | 413$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.45 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed No | 70c | 412.5$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 20c | 411.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.99 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…23febacked No | 3c | 403.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 9c | 400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 20c | 399.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.32 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 76c | 383.19$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.92 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 19c | 375.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.14 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 3c | 364.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 205 | 20%41 W · 164 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 76c | 348.9$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.07 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 76c | 345.01$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.82 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 7c | 316$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 15c | 274$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.07 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 9c | 257.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 233.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 11c | 218.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 11c | 218.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 19c | 213.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.47 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ad52backed Yes | 33c | 208.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 77c | 157.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…b275backed No | 13c | 157.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fe…6a04backed No | 16c | 151.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 11c | 151.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 7c | 150.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 66c | 147.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 35c | 145.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.54 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 47c | 143.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 142.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…13d6backed No | 8c | 139.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 34c | 132.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed No | 76c | 127.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 78c | 120.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 42c | 114.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 20c | 112.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…1b78backed No | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +149%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 17c | 109.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 73c | 95.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 34c | 94.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 19c | 85.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed No | 76c | 83.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 20c | 78.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Yes | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 77c | 67.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 76c | 67.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Yes | 35c | 67.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 21c | 66.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 69c | 66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 60.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes | 26c | 56.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 75c | 56.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Yes | 25c | 56.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 75c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 67c | 53.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…d5babacked Yes | 33c | 47.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +198.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…8949backed No | 75c | 39.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf458…f266backed No | 76c | 39.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed No | 76c | 35.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed No | 58c | 34.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 73c | 26.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 76c | 25.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.