Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d7ceda513a29b8889a05e209d85434028dc17247b76a08a28e50794c3e4c73c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 38c | 18,817$7,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,080.34 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 44c | 10,850$4,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.99 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 9,661$7,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.07 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 45c | 2,655$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.19 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,647$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.36 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 55c | 2,268$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.97 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 2,225$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.2 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Yes | 48c | 2,022$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.04 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 52c | 1,867$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.23 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 57c | 1,640$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.28 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 1,637$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.75 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 43c | 1,416$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.16 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 1,191$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.51 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…c617backed No | 36c | 1,035$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 7c | 950.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Yes | 56c | 892.13$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.44 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 41c | 531.62$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 2c | 519.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 14c | 495.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 58c | 410$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 381.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 42c | 361.65$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 340$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed No | 38c | 333$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 79c | 303.41$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 303$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.88 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Yes | 63c | 296.41$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 17c | 291.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 79c | 287.49$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 44c | 287$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.48 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes | 51c | 278.33$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d0…2c89backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ad52backed Yes | 42c | 220.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 43c | 215.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.51 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 42c | 210$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 69c | 202.94$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 36c | 194.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 12c | 187.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 48c | 183.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Yes | 42c | 167.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…c62dbacked No | 58c | 164.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 64c | 156.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…30aabacked Yes | 57c | 153.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Yes | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 46c | 131$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 127.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 58c | 119.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 79c | 110.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed Yes | 42c | 103$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 20c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 40c | 97.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 58c | 85.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…7ba3backed Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed No | 47c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…d6debacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 78c | 72.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked No | 78c | 67.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 32c | 65.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Yes | 43c | 62.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed No | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 54.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 55c | 54.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 80c | 46.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked No | 45c | 46.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 59c | 45.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…e9acbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 48c | 41.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 41c | 38.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 37.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9299…8f9cbacked Yes | 31c | 32.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed No | 79c | 30.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Yes | 65c | 30.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 29.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 57c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 40c | 27.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 45c | 26.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d4…9ff8backed No | 60c | 25.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Yes | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Yes | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 63c | 22.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.