Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x333bb4e597d99b631104f8f16298bb6d6fff9f5691a80858a169c011804b3845
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 48c | 7,823$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.71 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 28c | 5,585$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.63 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 44c | 4,712$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.91 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 66c | 1,950$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.9 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 1,442$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.36 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 1,391$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.8 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 45c | 1,129$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.17 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 983.48$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.7 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 965.72$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.12 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Yes | 73c | 666.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…1c30backed No | 50c | 528.05$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 66c | 450.93$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 450.15$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.47 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 36c | 414.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.17 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 27c | 389.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 59c | 300.16$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.64 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 37c | 298.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 47c | 284.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 44c | 227$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 215.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 11c | 204.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 41c | 157.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 146$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 12c | 133.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 78c | 128.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 46c | 125.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 17c | 125.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 29c | 123.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…30aabacked Yes | 79c | 119.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 51c | 111.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 41c | 106.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 54c | 98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 69c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 54.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 74c | 52.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 63c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 63c | 47.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 29c | 37.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 57c | 36.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 51c | 30.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 76c | 26.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 77c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 56c | 23.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 75c | 18.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…9e85backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.