Fifa International · resolved market
Ghana to score first vs. Panama?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1e22270c73e82a55d3b2f6d1cbb2bf691f3722b4fe0961eafb374dd7a15e4eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 2,454$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 51c | 1,974$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.14 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 49c | 996.92$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.52 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…c68cbacked Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 49c | 955.78$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.33 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 49c | 888.41$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.32 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 49c | 623.21$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.78 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed No | 2c | 589.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…0f92backed No | 4c | 546$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 51c | 499.25$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.63 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked No | 5c | 398.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 51c | 386.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 48c | 385.65$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.11 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a3…3dedbacked No | 10c | 357.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Yes | 64c | 310.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 48c | 301.95$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 206.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 48c | 181.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…23febacked No | 12c | 175.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…5651backed Yes | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 34c | 173.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.13 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4969backed Yes | 48c | 132.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Yes | 35c | 122$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 24c | 116.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed No | 13c | 115.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…5184backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c26…7a33backed Yes | 41c | 96.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked No | 30c | 94.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 49c | 88.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 17c | 79.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb63…043abacked Yes | 55c | 72.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…ed9abacked No | 50c | 71.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ee…bc1abacked Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 64c | 57.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 74c | 56.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb2…2d6cbacked Yes | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4369…4e32backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 74c | 52.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…25bfbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…aa14backed Yes | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked No | 50c | 44.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…5d63backed Yes | 70c | 44.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…ec52backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x856b…d0f8backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 32.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…acf4backed Yes | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…1250backed Yes | 52c | 24.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 78c | 18.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ghana to score first vs. Panama?this page
- Ghana vs. Panama: Neither team to score first?No won
- Panama to score first vs. Ghana?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.