Fifa International · resolved market
Panama to score first vs. Ghana?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x525f1e76e858127e80693a93162fc5d8b52ee214a474c75f6d81f01eff8d4187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc087…dbbabacked Yes | 41c | 1,227$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 60c | 1,145$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.8 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 59c | 999.96$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.98 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…6e89backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 10c | 932$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.8 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 51c | 782.46$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.52 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 40c | 572.92$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.17 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 59c | 405.39$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Yes | 41c | 253$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Yes | 39c | 202.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 51c | 192$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Yes | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 166.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 40c | 153.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 49c | 152.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 58c | 150.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…908fbacked Yes | 53c | 122.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad4…a675backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…4f3ebacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…7f80backed Yes | 47c | 85.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 39c | 82.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…fd49backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…ffa1backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…bd3abacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7390…30a3backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…b0a1backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe595…37fcbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…dcaebacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4969backed Yes | 53c | 37.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…1c7bbacked Yes | 41c | 30.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…96ffbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4369…4e32backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama to score first vs. Ghana?this page
- Ghana to score first vs. Panama?Yes won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.