Fifa International · resolved market
Ghana vs. Panama: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2955f2edb82ed8eebd159cd259b2e4025ff0b1c48e82469975eefd5e01c59bc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 1,301$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 17c | 1,025$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.75 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Yes | 10c | 987.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 11c | 925$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 71c | 910.92$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.04 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 811.16$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.14 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes | 10c | 746.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 23c | 689.34$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.24 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Yes | 37c | 676.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed No | 56c | 402.65$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.35 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 29c | 308.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…4228backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 8c | 171.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…5315backed Yes | 67c | 135.69$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Yes | 33c | 117.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 21c | 116.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…ffa1backed Yes | 69c | 101.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…4a0dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Yes | 75c | 75.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 240 | 46.3%111 W · 129 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…cc97backed Yes | 58c | 73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…a5dfbacked Yes | 79c | 64.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 90 | 72.2%65 W · 25 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…c3b7backed Yes | 42c | 59.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 45.7%113 W · 134 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Yes | 37c | 54.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Yes | 37c | 53.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…7fddbacked Yes | 60c | 50.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked Yes | 44c | 45.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…ed9abacked No | 69c | 44.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd838…96ccbacked Yes | 54c | 40.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 43c | 40.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed No | 63c | 38.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 65c | 33.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Yes | 61c | 32.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 76c | 26.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ghana vs. Panama: Neither team to score first?this page
- Ghana to score first vs. Panama?Yes won
- Panama to score first vs. Ghana?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.