South American Leagues · resolved market
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87e5eb1fb2c844a12a90cae9f7db7b9e368f9f2ccf472ad62da137b4f5c68c3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 33c | 22,207$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,887.83 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 9,038$5,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,637.84 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 7,607$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.85 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 68c | 3,859$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.24 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 54c | 3,653$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.3 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 68c | 3,569$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.59 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 54c | 2,956$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.53 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 13c | 2,156$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.57 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 46c | 1,749$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.81 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Under | 72c | 1,033$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.05 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 66c | 909.03$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.3 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 728.75$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.55 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 713.08$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.49 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 32c | 703.08$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.09 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 45c | 576.06$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.02 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed Under | 5c | 533.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 499.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.85 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 67c | 456.8$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.06 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 67c | 456.8$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.06 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 60c | 416.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 67c | 415$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.05 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 67c | 394$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.98 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 3c | 371.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Under | 9c | 270.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…292abacked Under | 5c | 263.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 43c | 207.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 40c | 201.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 80c | 200.52$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 33c | 196.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 56c | 180$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 57c | 175.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Under | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09a3…3dedbacked Under | 11c | 166.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 42c | 149.28$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 68c | 136.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 41c | 131.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +10.8wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 55c | 113.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 52c | 111.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 60c | 106.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 19c | 95.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 54c | 92.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 65c | 90.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 68c | 87.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 65c | 70.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…1597backed Under | 57c | 69.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…0fc3backed Under | 29c | 66.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 32c | 66.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 56c | 56.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 67c | 43.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…7acbbacked Over | 37c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 37.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 45c | 37.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 36.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 63c | 33.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 69c | 32.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…34d0backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 37c | 28.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Under | 69c | 25.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 55c | 22.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Under | 69c | 21.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5this page
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Platense: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Platense: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5Over won
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Platense: O/U 3.5Under won
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Platense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Platense: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Instituto AC Córdoba (-1.5)CA Platense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.