Fifa International · resolved market
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb572e9554c21c8d37219b8496197cb9e9a6b0fd0885af566952d6e5dcbf3579f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 78c | 19,874$15,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,597.07 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 32c | 9,359$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,358.51 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 68c | 5,994$4,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.51 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.56 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 51c | 4,878$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.1 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…9c27backed Yes | 18c | 2,489$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 1,846$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.78 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 76c | 1,800$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.95 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 2c | 1,751$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 4c | 1,733$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,522$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.74 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35b…4a53backed Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 72c | 999.99$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.07 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…b276backed Yes | 17c | 862.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.83 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.33 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.33 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…1540backed No | 67c | 746.74$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa3…bd55backed Yes | 14c | 715.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed No | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…bfaabacked Yes | 33c | 698.78$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…d6fabacked Yes | 37c | 540.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.68 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes | 39c | 534.93$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.31 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b19…1ad9backed Yes | 19c | 516.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59a…aaafbacked Yes | 32c | 481.55$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.55 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…d779backed Yes | 25c | 443$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…5a5bbacked Yes | 25c | 423.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.36 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 16c | 421.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.39 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 41c | 396.9$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.17 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 14c | 396.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.35 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 42c | 352.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 68c | 350$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 78c | 312.5$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…224cbacked Yes | 24c | 305.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +324.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726a…196bbacked No | 4c | 298$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc63e…30e3backed Yes | 35c | 289.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.52 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 283.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…e2dcbacked Yes | 18c | 281.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a23…a980backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +420.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +11.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…0b7dbacked Yes | 40c | 227.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.46 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Yes | 18c | 220$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…a7e7backed Yes | 23c | 219.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 46c | 217.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 65c | 214.13$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 17c | 205.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.56 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 204.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541d…ab86backed Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Yes | 25c | 188.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…5349backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…23febacked No | 13c | 161.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Yes | 29c | 160.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…0d69backed Yes | 34c | 148.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…bf59backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…5accbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…1499backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa458…24dfbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…975cbacked No | 59c | 140.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…a980backed Yes | 50c | 136.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Yes | 33c | 120.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…0cc8backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…c991backed Yes | 28c | 119.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…7d1fbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…1e21backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 20c | 113.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f6bbbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629e…61ebbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…f180backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…eda8backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2e…e1f2backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…1c50backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…c269backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…7ad9backed Yes | 17c | 90.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked No | 63c | 87.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…682abacked Yes | 34c | 87.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 57c | 76.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 42c | 68.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab9…9448backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…4811backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…641ebacked Yes | 48c | 62.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 18c | 59.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…a144backed Yes | 20c | 58.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 64c | 57.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…2e0abacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 204 | 51.5%105 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…5084backed Yes | 37c | 54.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…ebb9backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsthis page
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes won
- Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 5+ shotsYes won
- Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ assistsNo won
- Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marko Arnautovic: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Gregoritsch: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Gregoritsch: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Gregoritsch: 2+ shotsNo won
- Thiago Almada: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.