Fifa International · resolved market
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6549cd6f770079c8480557419e0b295d99c069a8fe00d2fa7f2589237a8741e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 55c | 20,096$11,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,005.91 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 51c | 7,630$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.25 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 41c | 6,453$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.44 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.79 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 49c | 5,516$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.72 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 51c | 4,202$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.72 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 49c | 3,880$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.96 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2e52backed No | 51c | 2,799$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.41 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked No | 48c | 2,468$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.09 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 76c | 2,320$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.76 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked No | 58c | 1,875$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Yes | 51c | 1,770$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.09 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,724$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.91 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…fa6dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,388$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.76 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,194$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.77 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…f99bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes | 47c | 999.68$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.75 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…345abacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 863.51$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 49c | 814.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.15 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…cbabbacked Yes | 49c | 734.69$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 54c | 722.85$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.65 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked No | 45c | 642.24$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…923dbacked Yes | 64c | 627.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 49c | 616.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.86 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 40c | 614.98$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…27b7backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 176 | 38.1%67 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfde…fa1bbacked No | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f5…6070backed Yes | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…26dbbacked Yes | 50c | 516.49$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.4 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +10.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 51c | 509.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.09 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 52c | 500.23$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.11 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…9040backed Yes | 47c | 500.04$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.04 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Yes | 51c | 425.06$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.28 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59a…aaafbacked Yes | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Yes | 51c | 403.69$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.81 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed No | 41c | 395.18$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.88 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -16.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…1604backed Yes | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 50c | 383.63$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.82 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…d808backed Yes | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 49c | 343.08$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.97 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 45c | 336.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.11 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ddbabacked Yes | 50c | 327.8$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…23d5backed Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…b276backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…0baebacked Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a5…40abbacked Yes | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Yes | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked No | 4c | 254.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 47c | 249.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…2c34backed Yes | 48c | 249.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 51c | 245.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…73a2backed Yes | 56c | 231.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 48c | 224.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 45c | 222.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…e78ebacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…7c77backed Yes | 65c | 221$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…0f20backed Yes | 47c | 216.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…740ebacked Yes | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a23…a980backed Yes | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +420.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…8e9fbacked Yes | 46c | 212.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…9e94backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…0cc8backed Yes | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 201.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x244e…e9bbbacked Yes | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…ea2dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 49c | 199.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…a980backed Yes | 49c | 198.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…a062backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…29b6backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…3931backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…a0b1backed Yes | 50c | 194.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…0a2cbacked Yes | 59c | 187.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed No | 51c | 184.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 49c | 180.86$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Yes | 57c | 176.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Yes | 50c | 176.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 50c | 169.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsthis page
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsYes won
- Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 5+ shotsYes won
- Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ assistsNo won
- Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marko Arnautovic: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Gregoritsch: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Gregoritsch: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Gregoritsch: 2+ shotsNo won
- Thiago Almada: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.