Lionel Messi: 1+ assists

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbacb0bfe6b78b595d468a8b6eb38cb3906ae2ec5c82df1d7d687ef7aede5bd3

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,786 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No	67c	4,152$2,782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,370	343	57.7%198 W · 145 L	+26.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes	33c	1,602$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522	105	25.7%27 W · 78 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	75c	1,328$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.99	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No	68c	999.96$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.99	311	71.4%222 W · 89 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes	19c	991.99$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.86	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe838…92fbbacked Yes	33c	606.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	76c	511.36$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.41	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked No	77c	500$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.78	59	69.5%41 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes	33c	454.55$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes	36c	419.44$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	276	37.7%104 W · 172 L	+15.3wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes	33c	336.36$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	90	40%36 W · 54 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes	5c	336.36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.82	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yes	20c	320$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	124	29%36 W · 88 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	160	16.3%26 W · 134 L	-11.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes	33c	300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	208	25%52 W · 156 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd255…bbcabacked Yes	39c	250$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	62c	231.84$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.77	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2d…0a9fbacked Yes	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x123d…1cabbacked Yes	27c	110.68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57e7…3633backed Yes	33c	106.06$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe851…fbeabacked Yes	32c	102.7$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.59	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…ac32backed Yes	33c	102.12$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.7	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Yes	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	281	27.8%78 W · 203 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	66c	99.96$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.99	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Yes	32c	93.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…bd16backed Yes	33c	90.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x801f…d27bbacked Yes	33c	90.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8704…566cbacked No	77c	77.92$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.92	65	84.6%55 W · 10 L	+11.4wins	+0.18per pick	67cpaid	+29%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf7cf…c88dbacked Yes	33c	75.85$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb413…adc3backed Yes	33c	75.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b14…13dcbacked Yes	34c	74$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.16	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98a3…9024backed Yes	33c	72.73$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	137	40.1%55 W · 82 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b3…d2a0backed Yes	28c	70.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e6d…b276backed Yes	32c	68.63$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0cb…419fbacked Yes	44c	68.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	432	46.8%202 W · 230 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	37%20 W · 34 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+18%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes	19c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Yes	19c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba97…5a9cbacked Yes	32c	56.25$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a3…9ac2backed Yes	33c	51.21$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No	69c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea2…f26dbacked Yes	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	84	21.4%18 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes	27c	47.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	80	21.3%17 W · 63 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x112a…694cbacked Yes	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f60…b0a4backed Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-5.0wins	-0.16per pick	25cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	66c	30.8$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.47	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2ca…4419backed No	72c	27.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.77	81	70.4%57 W · 24 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	75cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No	77c	25.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.97	66	71.2%47 W · 19 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No	62c	21.59$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.15	190	64.2%122 W · 68 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab35…118dbacked No	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.9	110	61.8%68 W · 42 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No	69c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.65	454	72.9%331 W · 123 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event