South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf25843e274ff7ccade4434d9856dd86ac270b58a509727a62505b6028da01c30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 8,072$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.17 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 74c | 5,569$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.98 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 1c | 2,150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 2,136$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 26c | 1,836$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.32 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 74c | 1,623$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.73 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Over | 43c | 1,156$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.68 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 2c | 522.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 76c | 390.67$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 63c | 364.12$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.52 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 361.85$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 51c | 293.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.87 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 75c | 254.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.51 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 203.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 28c | 200.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…0fc3backed Under | 10c | 185.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 25c | 178.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed Under | 67c | 155.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…53a1backed Under | 72c | 153.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 50c | 115.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 24c | 95.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 21c | 92.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed Under | 24c | 86.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…e15abacked Under | 16c | 76.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 74.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…2026backed Over | 63c | 73.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 44c | 73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 63c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 21c | 58.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 33c | 52.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 40c | 49.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 72c | 48.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 67c | 44.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 67c | 44.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 54c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 75c | 19.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 76c | 15.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a55cbacked Under | 80c | 12.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5this page
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: CF Monterrey O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: Club Santos Laguna O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: Club Santos Laguna O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-2.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)CF Monterrey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.