South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9291ade6a26f7d67f66ff65afbe2aef5d0307bc41896a7a7f67168a145793710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 54c | 2,538$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Under | 56c | 1,357$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…4cb9backed Under | 1c | 1,034$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 1,022$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.61 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 46c | 978$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.12 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 43c | 961.44$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.89 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Under | 3c | 809.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 6c | 584.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 46c | 501$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.54 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Over | 43c | 378.49$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.53 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 55c | 349.89$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 68c | 342.48$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 74c | 262.38$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 57c | 251.89$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 247.48$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed Under | 10c | 203.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 19c | 200.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 43c | 190.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 184.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69de…62c4backed Under | 66c | 149.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 149.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 46c | 140$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Under | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 128$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 43c | 68.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…0ecfbacked Under | 58c | 62.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 61.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 43c | 60.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 312 | 40.1%125 W · 187 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 57c | 60.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 57c | 59.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…21f7backed Over | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 45c | 50.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 58c | 43.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 42c | 42.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 57c | 29.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 58c | 24.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…416cbacked Under | 53c | 19.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 57c | 17.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5this page
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: CF Monterrey O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: Club Santos Laguna O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: Club Santos Laguna O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-2.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)CF Monterrey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.