TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,604 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over30c2,510$741 inLost-$7412,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Over21c2,352$494 inLost-$493.92156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-84.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under48c1,986$953 inWon+$1,032.715457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfafd…3598backed Over8c1,927$156 inLost-$155.9950%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c1,209$911 inWon+$297.918,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over52c902.44$465 inLost-$465.161,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x905a…dff1backed Under56c357.14$200 inWon+$157.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under58c250$145 inWon+$1053756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under73c250$183 inWon+$67.51675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over39c242.29$94 inLost-$93.752,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over44c227.25$100 inLost-$99.997248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c21…c583backed Under42c223.81$94 inWon+$129.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over11c200$22 inLost-$2220846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c167.71$85 inWon+$82.95,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over26c143.41$37 inLost-$37.2921044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under40c125$50 inWon+$7512331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over58c112.07$65 inLost-$651145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over10c108.31$11 inLost-$10.8367548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under79c92$73 inWon+$19.3272058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon+$39.292040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under79c79.7$63 inWon+$16.7495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Under65c46.15$30 inWon+$16.151457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost-$202334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81d…20f7backed Under63c39.68$25 inWon+$14.681266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Under78c38.22$30 inWon+$8.222669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under74c26.16$19 inWon+$6.810766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.