South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dbf933e0e4322b5d95c9c66d6935f90888738aae591172d806a176a6dd910d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Santos Lagunaof CF Monterrey, Club Santos Laguna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CF Monterrey | 43c | 1,151$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.11 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Santos Laguna | 52c | 1,059$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.3 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CF Monterrey | 54c | 605.49$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.69 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Santos Laguna | 18c | 452$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.64 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked CF Monterrey | 41c | 342.56$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Club Santos Laguna | 79c | 318.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 247 | 66%163 W · 84 L | +27.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Club Santos Laguna | 32c | 317.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed CF Monterrey | 68c | 291.09$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked CF Monterrey | 11c | 280$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed CF Monterrey | 44c | 249.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Club Santos Laguna | 59c | 150.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Club Santos Laguna | 61c | 148.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Club Santos Laguna | 57c | 144.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CF Monterrey | 71c | 140.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed CF Monterrey | 41c | 137.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Club Santos Laguna | 57c | 119.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…9ec2backed Club Santos Laguna | 58c | 104$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked CF Monterrey | 44c | 98.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Club Santos Laguna | 59c | 89.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Club Santos Laguna | 60c | 87.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked CF Monterrey | 40c | 87.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed CF Monterrey | 17c | 80.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Club Santos Laguna | 58c | 73.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CF Monterrey | 38c | 73.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 425 | 62.4%265 W · 160 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CF Monterrey | 79c | 64.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Club Santos Laguna | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…cc35backed Club Santos Laguna | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked CF Monterrey | 43c | 32.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Club Santos Laguna | 58c | 30.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed CF Monterrey | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Club Santos Laguna | 58c | 28.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Club Santos Laguna | 41c | 27.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Club Santos Laguna | 60c | 24.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…c454backed Club Santos Laguna | 61c | 24.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Club Santos Laguna | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Club Santos Laguna | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)this page
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: CF Monterrey O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: Club Santos Laguna O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: Club Santos Laguna O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-2.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)CF Monterrey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.