Movies · resolved market
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab9904a28f303c67d0b9398baa5c1aa3f32f3e4cea2257f21409be9807f1a235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 19c | 3,703$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.06 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed No | 12c | 3,092$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.71 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 75c | 2,841$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.53 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,700$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.68per pick | 12cpaid | +851%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,687$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 11c | 1,496$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.98 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed Yes | 1c | 1,458$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +10,316.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed Yes | 79c | 1,313$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 73c | 1,245$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.26 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…ccc1backed Yes | 79c | 1,147$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,141$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +1,937%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,042$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,621%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 24c | 994.89$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.82 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0443…2221backed No | 34c | 851.06$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed Yes | 4c | 793.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +754.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…23febacked Yes | 2c | 688.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,821.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 577.09$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 10c | 425.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 14c | 420.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 60c | 400$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 12c | 379$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 14c | 373.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 14c | 370.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…691bbacked Yes | 42c | 320$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 17c | 304.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 7c | 280.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 17c | 271.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abe…37b7backed No | 49c | 268.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 24c | 258$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 16c | 255$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 245$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…c614backed Yes | 58c | 240$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…cc2cbacked Yes | 57c | 240$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 19c | 226.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 67c | 224$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 33c | 217.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 16c | 217$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x998b…db96backed No | 14c | 203.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 74c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed No | 18c | 199.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 22c | 148.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked No | 12c | 135.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…37c9backed Yes | 73c | 134.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 24c | 134.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…6ee7backed Yes | 79c | 125.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 26c | 123.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…9675backed No | 22c | 123.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 17c | 121.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 117.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 14c | 116.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…7219backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 8%6 W · 69 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 10c | 103.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 86.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…f58fbacked Yes | 80c | 85.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 79c | 83.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked No | 18c | 79.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked Yes | 40c | 78.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed Yes | 68c | 73.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ff…5d9cbacked No | 18c | 73.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 35c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 28c | 54.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…0e42backed Yes | 69c | 53.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…678cbacked No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…e9e8backed No | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa59e…73cabacked No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a12…37cabacked Yes | 72c | 45.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…bff4backed No | 54c | 42.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 49c | 35.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…b760backed Yes | 72c | 34.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked No | 48c | 30.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…3ff1backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Yes | 78c | 23.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Yes | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bb…24b7backed Yes | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?this page
- Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?No won
- Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?No won
- Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.