TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,305

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c7,850$4,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,521.854,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over31c5,783$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,003.274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over25c5,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7507823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under61c3,966$2,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,413.012065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e21…9e3bbacked Over63c3,747$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.24560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over50c3,490$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.092,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under39c3,450$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.5112146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under35c3,348$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.4525537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under42c2,673$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.751,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x905a…dff1backed Under79c2,537$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over66c2,058$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.6959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90011147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over30c1,921$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.982958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over37c1,915$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.392,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Over66c1,876$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.7110142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Over62c1,600$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6086349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.6414866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c1,311$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.493,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over48c1,238$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.4421747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over38c1,194$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.374,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9732…cd57backed Under2c1,150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2490%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c1,091$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.091,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under38c1,087$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.1185851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c959.04$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.752,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over67c953.18$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.5514463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under33c859.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.613643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over32c837.86$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.8361750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under34c794.87$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.563,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.233873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over68c738.55$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.797943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24514433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under36c649.34$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.541451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under36c649.34$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.535549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over45c639.33$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.1627931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under33c637.9$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6484844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under48c610.46$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2317447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20437451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under71c593.8$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.84,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under33c572.92$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.773,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under33c506.58$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.171,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under38c506.43$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2368141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under57c443.49$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.1244435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under33c435.17$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6518435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Under45c371.12$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3639752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over51c370.41$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.53060%18 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over56c335.7$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7135658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under5c308.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4747546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21615655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over67c298.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5728258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over47c282$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.411238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea16…4bd8backed Over67c280.33$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.512055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under34c268.53$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.995529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under40c262.85$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6963151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c248.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Under65c246.28$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.589740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under34c240$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.623732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over64c231.8$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4538439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over41c231.71$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7110740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under33c229.35$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.511,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over64c228.13$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.132552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60e…33d0backed Over68c227.94$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.942025%5 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over67c223.07$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.615145.1%23 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb25e…1071backed Over68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.598452.4%44 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under44c214.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9520150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over67c208.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9616965.1%110 W · 59 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under34c202.59$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.373,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6631553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over35c199.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under33c199.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9912544%55 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over63c196.94$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.875074%37 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Under61c195.9$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.876050%30 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under33c190.6$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.691,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under38c185.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.614556.6%82 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under54c185.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under73c178.82$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3212559.2%74 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under56c175.43$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2422932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6752441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Over30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6712637.3%47 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over46c163.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0411027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under35c160.45$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1640736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Over66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.410672.6%77 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over65c149.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527850%39 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.259462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2522466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Under68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under69c145.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.77136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed Over68c142.65$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.654050%20 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over23c141.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1315543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over27c134.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.513351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over67c134.9$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.529644.8%43 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6523820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Under33c129.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.930040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over46c118$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0487651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1436038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a4a…99c5backed Under35c105.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under79c105.03$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.978658.1%50 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over38c105$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6522052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.