Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb5c690c0af7fdcbd06064cac726363043c4b758a5d3954f742504dc3a5449a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chileof Portugal, Chile
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Portugal | 64c | 19,882$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,750 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Chile | 40c | 16,760$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,093.62 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…170fbacked Portugal | 60c | 15,804$9,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,522.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chile | 43c | 10,865$4,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,183.01 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Chile | 38c | 9,612$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,947.21 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chile | 41c | 8,681$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078.95 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Portugal | 48c | 6,218$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Portugal | 59c | 5,457$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.59 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Portugal | 61c | 3,569$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.31 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Chile | 43c | 3,076$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.19 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Chile | 41c | 2,520$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.8 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chile | 49c | 2,331$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.23 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Chile | 38c | 2,120$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.09 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chile | 47c | 2,092$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.48 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chile | 45c | 1,987$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.82 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chile | 38c | 1,701$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.69 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…859ebacked Portugal | 42c | 1,637$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.48 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Chile | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Portugal | 62c | 1,515$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.25 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Chile | 37c | 1,210$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.08 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Chile | 36c | 1,110$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.25 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Portugal | 4c | 1,083$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Chile | 50c | 860.5$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.66 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Portugal | 62c | 832.52$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.93 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…227fbacked Portugal | 61c | 819.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.23 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Portugal | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Chile | 39c | 738.46$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.46 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Chile | 35c | 714$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Chile | 35c | 714$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…90cdbacked Portugal | 42c | 676.93$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Portugal | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Portugal | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Chile | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Chile | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Chile | 36c | 471.25$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.33 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Chile | 38c | 417$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Portugal | 62c | 402$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.24 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Chile | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Portugal | 51c | 388.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chile | 48c | 372$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.16 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Portugal | 59c | 351.25$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Portugal | 64c | 347.03$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.1 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Portugal | 62c | 309.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.92 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Portugal | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Chile | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…0a81backed Chile | 39c | 296.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Chile | 50c | 296.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.54 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Chile | 22c | 278$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.86 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Portugal | 60c | 275.21$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.26 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Chile | 19c | 264.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Chile | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Portugal | 61c | 245.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Portugal | 59c | 235$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Portugal | 57c | 216.52$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Chile | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Portugal | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Portugal | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd963…fd5abacked Chile | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Portugal | 59c | 199.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Portugal | 55c | 199.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Portugal | 54c | 185.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Portugal | 77c | 179.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.26 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Chile | 38c | 167.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked Portugal | 62c | 162.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…4ee0backed Portugal | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Portugal | 59c | 160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Portugal | 62c | 151.72$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chile | 37c | 149.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Portugal | 59c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…fb48backed Portugal | 66c | 139.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…310ebacked Portugal | 63c | 139.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Chile | 37c | 130.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Chile | 35c | 128.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Portugal | 79c | 121.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…7750backed Portugal | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Chile | 40c | 119$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Portugal | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Portugal | 52c | 112.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Portugal | 62c | 112.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Chile | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Portugal | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Portugal | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Portugal | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Portugal | 71c | 95.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Portugal | 62c | 92.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Chile | 48c | 90.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Chile | 48c | 86.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Chile | 39c | 82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Chile | 60c | 81.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Portugal | 60c | 81.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 268 | 35.4%95 W · 173 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…3509backed Portugal | 60c | 81.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Portugal | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Portugal | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Portugal | 62c | 80.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Chile | 41c | 77.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Portugal | 63c | 75.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 34 | 88.2%30 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +31%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…0296backed Portugal | 54c | 74.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Portugal | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…26bcbacked Portugal | 62c | 68.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Portugal | 76c | 64.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)this page
- Portugal vs. Chile: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chile (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Chile won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.