TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under23c5,638$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.254,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under21c2,943$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.453,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under49c2,785$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.1617447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x662d…7582backed Over75c2,500$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6251637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over69c2,391$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.692,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c1,830$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.233,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over61c1,676$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.77943%34 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Under45c1,500$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6707851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under14c1,458$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.15141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under29c1,381$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over77c1,161$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.48672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over61c1,146$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.4713351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45011147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under23c914.6$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.864944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under13c850.13$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.271,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under14c800$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11222639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d1…c0f2backed Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under14c468.66$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9331553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under17c418.26$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.132,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Over54c414.76$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6714445.8%66 W · 78 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb2…95e4backed Over75c396.4$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.11369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over77c356.79$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6287651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over63c330$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over67c303.83$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over67c294.1$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0533843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Over79c276.04$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.496855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.674766%31 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under43c260.37$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9645248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe760…19bdbacked Under15c255.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.217628.9%22 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x232e…e9fdbacked Over57c242.73$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.371637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under15c240$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3623732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under13c240$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4422656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over64c189.83$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9128964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under33c185.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.81,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over74c180.85$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.021,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under13c179.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.73,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under14c178.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.384,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.418646.5%40 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd043…9ce2backed Over59c169.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.971376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under35c142.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over60c133.76$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9113253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c124.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2550450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Under42c116.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8110050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under22c109.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over76c105.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.746973.9%51 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Over58c103.59$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.593151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under14c103$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9118435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Under13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+53.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0416547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Under42c97.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1325454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over58c93.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.474,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over67c92.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5763745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba8…ba5ebacked Under42c87.55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over74c84.66$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0135658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.121,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under44c82.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1241451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under44c82.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1235549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under15c78.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5251250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under14c77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7826631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.88647.7%41 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over58c64.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7366…d1aabacked Over67c59.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.447248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under17c58.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1669744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over57c58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7210949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x284f…f863backed Over73c57.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.523366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x967b…46babacked Over57c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.69359.1%55 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over62c54.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.722258.6%130 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over52c53.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4715543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.632958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4130836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x262c…5f00backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1c…3d69backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205650%28 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Over65c46.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.239558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ce…b36fbacked Under37c41.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over62c41.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9990840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3965…4ef1backed Over56c40.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Under40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511640.5%47 W · 69 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8af…a0a5backed Over56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45054%27 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4126835.4%95 W · 173 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over79c26.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6470948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over62c25.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.819754.6%53 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a52…a6f5backed Over62c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8115247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x562e…922bbacked Over69c23.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.191323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-53.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over74c23.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0783153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Under44c22.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1215144.4%67 W · 84 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1171…16cfbacked Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.86355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfff1…5e20backed Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+60.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.819047.9%91 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Over58c19.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Over71c17.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2125753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over67c16.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5218764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce0e…ab62backed Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.