TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x890e…db10backed Over45c9,896$4,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,453.172835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c3,594$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.713,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Over44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54010142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Under55c3,135$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.753450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over43c2,435$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.155062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over27c2,398$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.232,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under55c2,284$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.817447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9913762.8%86 W · 51 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under55c1,938$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.3423949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under56c1,607$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.145843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under56c1,335$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.2861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Under57c1,137$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.8321442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over46c1,016$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.577943%34 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c885.02$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.274,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under56c631.73$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.431,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed Under80c620.73$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over43c601.8$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7759230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under56c599.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.0522041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c594.92$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.233,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over45c574.93$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9714433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c555.67$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.773,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under56c530$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.210744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under56c492.5$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over42c484.16$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3533149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.975529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c288.85$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.981,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under55c278.65$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3948152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over27c270$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.923820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c258.09$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under55c239.74$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8829154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce38…2513backed Over41c238.02$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.591526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-58.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x232e…e9fdbacked Over43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.191637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over18c231.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.723,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under55c224$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0518435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under56c218.46$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.071,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over11c205$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.742,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.33,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over24c195.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.684,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under55c176.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.445856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Under56c159.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.430040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under58c150.76$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3241857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Over34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507219.4%14 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Under58c146.72$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.725345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c138.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.471,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44e6…24f3backed Under61c126.07$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1715845.6%72 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c124$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.612,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.814146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba3…4db1backed Over45c111.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over16c111.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7713059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over45c108.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.738439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over12c107.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over47c105.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4420050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4214554.5%79 W · 66 L+12.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ed3…95d7backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under54c99.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.661,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…57f1backed Over46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over14c95.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.014,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9136045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e26…ecc5backed Under56c88.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.64156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Under57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1815060%90 W · 60 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under57c69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6741344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over19c59.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1422052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc8…974bbacked Over30c59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6328…1bf3backed Over45c58.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.226741.8%28 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under54c57.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6390840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6311749.6%58 W · 59 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227850%39 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under56c49.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7883153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over43c42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.063721.6%8 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1813557.8%78 W · 57 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3618947.6%90 W · 99 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e80…416dbacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.363348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3965…4ef1backed Over43c32.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe21c…3fd3backed Over43c32.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.854233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.052,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Under63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0312848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under56c28.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.359463.8%60 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…eacfbacked Over44c27.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129459.6%56 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3063…65b3backed Under56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114864.6%31 W · 17 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x105a…fe6cbacked Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc449…adfabacked Under73c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.67955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Under58c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6910068%68 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under66c19.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7919448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb649…e8b2backed Under64c16.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.93647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under68c16.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.221,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.