Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcef6b95a1d75b1de1eeefa4c0ccd53f83fca32d02cf213e8e89e219faccb4ba3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x890e…db10backed Over | 45c | 9,896$4,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.17 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 3,594$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.71 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4decbacked Over | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked Under | 55c | 3,135$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.75 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 43c | 2,435$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.15 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 27c | 2,398$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.23 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 55c | 2,284$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.8 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 55c | 1,938$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.34 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 56c | 1,607$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.14 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 56c | 1,335$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.28 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Under | 57c | 1,137$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.83 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 46c | 1,016$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.57 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 885.02$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 56c | 631.73$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.43 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Under | 80c | 620.73$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 601.8$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.77 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.05 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 594.92$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.23 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 45c | 574.93$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.97 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 555.67$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.77 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 56c | 530$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 56c | 492.5$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 42c | 484.16$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.35 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.97 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 288.85$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 55c | 278.65$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 27c | 270$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 258.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 55c | 239.74$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…2513backed Over | 41c | 238.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…e9fdbacked Over | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 18c | 231.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 55c | 224$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 56c | 218.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 11c | 205$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 24c | 195.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 55c | 176.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1bd3backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Under | 56c | 159.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 58c | 150.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Under | 58c | 146.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 138.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Under | 61c | 126.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 124$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Under | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…4db1backed Over | 45c | 111.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 16c | 111.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 45c | 108.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 12c | 107.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 47c | 105.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 145 | 54.5%79 W · 66 L | +12.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…95d7backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Over | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 14c | 95.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…ecc5backed Under | 56c | 88.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 57c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 19c | 59.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…974bbacked Over | 30c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Over | 45c | 58.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 54c | 57.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 49.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Over | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…416dbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3965…4ef1backed Over | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…3fd3backed Over | 43c | 32.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 56c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…eacfbacked Over | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…65b3backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x105a…fe6cbacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…adfabacked Under | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 66c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…e8b2backed Under | 64c | 16.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 16.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 3.5this page
- Portugal vs. Chile: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chile (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Chile won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Chile won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.