Mls · resolved market
Will Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd9321840fba8d02b3c5c3cef404bf790c63d9d3660388892e3f0aabd29289f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 575.08$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 50c | 567.52$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.76 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…a41dbacked Yes | 50c | 538.04$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 79c | 530$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 75c | 451.19$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 377.5$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 314.23$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 68c | 291.31$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.13 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 31c | 281$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 23c | 273.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 272.55$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 76c | 241.67$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed Yes | 11c | 197.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 36cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 77c | 159$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 77c | 141$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed Yes | 23c | 140.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 68c | 130$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…292abacked Yes | 10c | 118.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…486dbacked Yes | 24c | 117$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 112.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 112$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 26c | 112$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 21c | 103.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 46c | 101.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919f…bfbebacked Yes | 31c | 101$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 100.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5591…ebe0backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 51c | 79.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 41c | 75.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 41c | 75.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 42c | 74.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 59.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 77c | 55.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 43c | 54.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 21c | 52.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 77c | 48.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 34c | 39.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 75c | 30.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 78c | 28.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 65c | 25.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 23.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 74c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?this page
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.