Mls · resolved market
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc933e7dd6a71cfd4ad35daed640ec3c4cd66516e9b0f1b948a0bc8f7fc0e74da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 59c | 4,218$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.74 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6daf…a17cbacked Yes | 19c | 4,103$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 2,469$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.49 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 77c | 1,607$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.8 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 66c | 1,490$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.69 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 74c | 1,223$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.08 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 18c | 1,077$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 14c | 925.55$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.77 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 29c | 906$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.58 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 23c | 810.64$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.1 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 64c | 788.72$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.62 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 698.42$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.23 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 76c | 530$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.85 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 54c | 520.97$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.82 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 73c | 466.53$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 24c | 429.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Yes | 19c | 408.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 19c | 405.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed No | 14c | 336$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 25c | 321.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.06 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 18c | 321.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 60c | 292.08$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 4c | 263.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 63c | 259.06$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed No | 37c | 258.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 68c | 252.51$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Yes | 12c | 224.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 38c | 216.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 19c | 209.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 49c | 202.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 18c | 197.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 66c | 171.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Yes | 15c | 168.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Yes | 15c | 153.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 68c | 148.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 72c | 144$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 20c | 138.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 20c | 137.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 22c | 136.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 78c | 128.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.30per pick | 69cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Yes | 19c | 119.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 106.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Yes | 56c | 97.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 46c | 93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 19c | 90.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 61c | 88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Yes | 15c | 85.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 26cpaid | +348.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 53c | 82.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…8c25backed Yes | 61c | 81.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Yes | 18c | 80.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5591…ebe0backed Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Yes | 61c | 79.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 47c | 79.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 72c | 68.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed No | 72c | 68.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 44c | 67.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x44fe…301dbacked Yes | 67c | 50.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Yes | 63c | 49.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 64c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 56c | 31.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 58c | 27.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…7ba8backed Yes | 63c | 23.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Yes | 68c | 15.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?No won
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.