TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Doncaster Rovers FCof Middlesbrough FC, Doncaster Rovers FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,525 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9bea…038ebacked Doncaster Rovers FC16c250.6$40 inWon+$210.771030%3 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick14cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed Middlesbrough FC12c205.29$24 inLost-$24.2390%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Doncaster Rovers FC79c130.99$103 inWon+$28.143158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Middlesbrough FC57c130$74 inLost-$74.16,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80aa…e8eabacked Middlesbrough FC23c90.49$21 inLost-$21450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+96%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Doncaster Rovers FC76c85.59$65 inWon+$20.791764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Doncaster Rovers FC79c70$55 inWon+$14.71,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9732…cd57backed Middlesbrough FC23c59.81$14 inLost-$1450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…8586backed Middlesbrough FC23c59.8$14 inLost-$14520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked Middlesbrough FC28c51.51$15 inLost-$14.531225%3 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Doncaster Rovers FC75c21.64$16 inWon+$5.41875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Middlesbrough FC77c21$16 inLost-$16.1773258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Doncaster Rovers FC75c19.02$14 inWon+$4.7688635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doncaster Rovers FC77c18.42$14 inWon+$4.2431849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.