Premier League · resolved market
Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e759f42a2bb2965460faa8f651171823972e63fd2e79e7cc226a2f0ee9cd8e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 25c | 35,986$9,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,003.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 15,721$11,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 9,090$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.78 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 74c | 7,218$5,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.71 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 76c | 2,267$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.19 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 71c | 1,777$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.79 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,361$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.23 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 74c | 574.91$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.23 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 77c | 515.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 40c | 205$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 43c | 174$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 46c | 129$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 9c | 124.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 48c | 115.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 45c | 68.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…3a2abacked Over | 76c | 61.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 72cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 73c | 59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 45c | 52.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…a0b1backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 59c | 35.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 53c | 23.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed Over | 79c | 15.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Over | 76c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Middlesbrough FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Doncaster Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.