Europa Conference League · resolved market
Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24d45ba9253b0ba195552569d37053dd01dff8c24ee17df3e4dfcdcfe70c786e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 20,732$7,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,998.31 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 18,100$11,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,587.02 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 43c | 6,952$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.37 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 59c | 3,189$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 21c | 2,691$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.35 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 78c | 2,600$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.49 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 31c | 2,367$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.07 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 57c | 2,365$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.6 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 2,315$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…792fbacked Over | 58c | 2,126$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 2,005$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.72 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 68c | 1,963$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.62 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 11c | 1,561$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.14 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 36c | 1,517$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.8 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Over | 58c | 1,317$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 54c | 1,234$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.67 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 40c | 1,100$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.89 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 42c | 1,099$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.38 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.16 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 978.68$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.09 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 908.9$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.38 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 58c | 864.57$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.57 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 55c | 836.36$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 79c | 759.48$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 41c | 737.67$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.22 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 80c | 734.27$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.41 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 57c | 720.97$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.83 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 40c | 706.17$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.47 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 611.49$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.12 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Over | 55c | 599.98$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 65c | 591.07$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.82 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 41c | 557.48$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.14 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 58c | 536.45$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.07 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 64c | 501.31$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 500$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 37c | 486.04$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.21 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 55c | 430.86$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 54c | 375.81$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 361.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 5c | 361.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 19c | 352.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 350.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.95 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 42c | 346.54$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.52 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 66c | 345.21$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.66 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 59c | 333.72$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.38 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Under | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Under | 78c | 330.95$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 50c | 312.6$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 65c | 296.84$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Under | 40c | 296.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 41c | 288.76$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 53c | 240$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 43c | 240$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Over | 55c | 230$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 52c | 201.94$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 78c | 199.3$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.45 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 196.86$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 39c | 190$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed Under | 8c | 186.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +162.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 60c | 178.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 69c | 165.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 41c | 158.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 76c | 148$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 42c | 139.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 12c | 126.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 20c | 125$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Under | 43c | 123.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 71c | 117.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 45c | 116.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 44c | 116.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 68c | 115$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 48c | 104.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked Under | 40c | 97.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 97.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 41c | 93.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 52c | 78.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Over | 60c | 76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 55c | 70.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 59c | 69.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 43c | 65.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 54c | 64.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…866abacked Over | 55c | 63.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 41c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 42c | 56.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 49c | 55.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 48c | 51.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…13a8backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5this page
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Derry City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Derry City FC (-1.5)PFK CSKA Sofia won
- Spread: Derry City FC (-2.5)PFK CSKA Sofia won
- Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)Derry City FC won
- Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5)Derry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.