TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,376
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,376 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c20,732$7,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,998.312,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under64c18,100$11,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,587.0263857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under43c6,952$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.379954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over59c3,189$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.621457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over21c2,691$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.355440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over78c2,600$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.492657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10017446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over31c2,367$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.0797346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over57c2,365$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.617233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under2c2,315$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.496619.7%13 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-54.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Over58c2,126$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over39c2,005$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.721,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under68c1,963$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.6238453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under11c1,561$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.142611.5%3 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over36c1,517$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.81,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Over58c1,317$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over54c1,234$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.672,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under40c1,100$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.8927545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under42c1,099$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.3811645.7%53 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c1,000$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.1696947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47012770.9%90 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under41c978.68$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.092,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over59c908.9$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.387755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over58c864.57$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.575030%15 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Over55c836.36$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under79c759.48$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.993724.3%9 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over41c737.67$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.224223.8%10 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under80c734.27$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.4117941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over57c720.97$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.832,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under40c706.17$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.478549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c611.49$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.123,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Over55c599.98$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.994136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under65c591.07$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.823333.3%11 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under41c557.48$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1420050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under58c536.45$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.0733446.7%156 W · 178 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under64c501.31$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32335146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c500$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.51,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over37c486.04$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2115628.2%44 W · 112 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under55c430.86$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.985149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under54c375.81$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.994254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under42c361.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2356849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under5c361.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4615240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under19c352.33$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5178344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c350.16$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.951,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under42c346.54$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.527328.8%21 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under66c345.21$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.6650154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under59c333.72$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3823950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…f040backed Under6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20365.6%2 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Under78c330.95$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.141030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3e…0b87backed Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under50c312.6$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1565850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Under65c296.84$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.811637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Under40c296.34$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under41c288.76$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4844156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.736240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.46555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over53c240$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.856457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over43c240$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.21947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.46759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Over55c230$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.58245.1%37 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under52c201.94$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8827846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under78c199.3$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.455971.2%42 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick73cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over58c196.86$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2665535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under39c190$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7547649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9732…cd57backed Under8c186.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14825%2 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+162.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under60c178.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.695747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under69c165.09$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under41c158.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8313050%65 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6037446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under76c148$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.486030%18 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under42c139.97$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7916443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under12c126.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2318244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over20c125$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.623138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick29cpaid-3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Under43c123.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.11825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under71c117.07$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2419848%95 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Under45c116.87$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.592646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over44c116.02$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.978333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Under68c115$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.942231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over48c104.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.151931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked Under40c97.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c97.07$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under41c93.39$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2936356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.914438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over52c78.75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.823653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Over60c76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.562128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over55c70.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.669062.2%56 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under59c69.94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1885260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under43c65.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.32369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over54c64.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8514767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb83e…866abacked Over55c63.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under41c62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.423348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under42c56.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.589753.6%52 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Over49c55.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.461060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6327437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over48c51.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8526647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe692…13a8backed Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.550%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.