Europa Conference League · resolved market
Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72ca6ee4fdab1b3686f011c357c444f57bc03da06c3826040e91836fc54374fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 60c | 4,150$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 59c | 2,632$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.41 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 40c | 2,253$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.43 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 40c | 1,528$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.07 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 1,314$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.45 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 1,256$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.76 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 1,018$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.18 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153c…bf6abacked Yes | 56c | 893.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 41c | 853.11$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.91 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…8898backed Yes | 47c | 766.17$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 40c | 600$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Yes | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 358.51$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 40c | 333$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 60c | 323.51$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.33 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 62c | 268.79$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 60c | 251.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 60c | 167.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 39c | 149.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 46c | 130.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…658dbacked Yes | 59c | 126.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 41c | 125.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 120.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 59c | 105.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…5f72backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 41c | 75.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 44c | 69.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 41c | 68.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 60c | 58.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 43c | 57.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 40c | 55.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…6e99backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…e3b2backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d9…ab6ebacked Yes | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 54c | 32.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 39c | 31.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 41c | 28.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 65c | 27.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…082ebacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Derry City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Derry City FC (-1.5)PFK CSKA Sofia won
- Spread: Derry City FC (-2.5)PFK CSKA Sofia won
- Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)Derry City FC won
- Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5)Derry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.