Europa Conference League · resolved market
Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87aecb8a1557cd599fa89fb828614e93f102c78713bb37f2cf39f14cebfab5b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 65c | 5,518$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.88 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 2,113$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.48 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 31c | 1,709$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.7 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 65c | 1,214$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.76 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 34c | 1,120$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.19 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 40c | 912.92$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.39 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 18c | 507.13$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 32c | 406.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 51c | 320$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 72c | 286$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 35c | 280$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 25c | 166.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 163.52$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 19c | 162.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 62c | 153.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 146.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 35c | 138.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Under | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…17fcbacked Over | 73c | 132.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 75c | 124.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 80c | 122.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 19c | 115.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 50c | 113.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 106.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…600ebacked Under | 51c | 88.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 14c | 77.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 33c | 71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 33c | 54.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 62c | 47.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 79c | 43.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 70c | 43.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Over | 78c | 38.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 32c | 37.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 78c | 36.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…866abacked Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 77c | 23.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 77c | 15.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 1.5this page
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Derry City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Derry City FC (-1.5)PFK CSKA Sofia won
- Spread: Derry City FC (-2.5)PFK CSKA Sofia won
- Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)Derry City FC won
- Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5)Derry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.