South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70b9b500baa79ac8788536f2457f6dcd47ca92e64cd7077ef6bf4a014c0baf8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 5c | 10,506$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.34 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 3,429$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.03 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 1,928$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.4 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 1,439$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.15 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 10c | 1,234$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 814.56$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.54 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked No | 3c | 729.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 42c | 671.77$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.31 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 5c | 526.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 28c | 400$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.09 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 71c | 322.48$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.06 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 26c | 316.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.62 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…4238backed Yes | 29c | 245$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 56c | 229.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 18c | 190.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.43 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ce…7d54backed Yes | 31c | 170.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 70c | 170.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 169.58$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked No | 76c | 130.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…dc59backed No | 25c | 127.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 21c | 105$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 79c | 99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 20c | 98.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 54c | 94.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 13c | 93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 16c | 88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 86.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…0fc3backed No | 17c | 82.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 59.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed No | 24c | 59.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 58.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 26c | 55.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…a298backed No | 64c | 47.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 70c | 33.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 37c | 30.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 66c | 29.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 73c | 22.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -26%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-19?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.