South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x306ce8dfb2ac54d110d636d92eb41d926b679e273bb2ecd108fe253503c71ff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked No | 61c | 30,629$18,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,945.45 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 15,129$5,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,844.83 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes | 3c | 5,948$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.43 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,348$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.44 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 5,113$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Yes | 2c | 4,567$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 4,170$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.39 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 39c | 3,723$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.2 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Yes | 0c | 2,602$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 68c | 2,355$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.44 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 1c | 1,532$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Yes | 3c | 1,375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 1,237$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.53 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 768.74$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 763.69$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.47 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba1…6aefbacked Yes | 32c | 606.06$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 7c | 580.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed No | 68c | 533.6$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 39c | 522.92$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.94 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed No | 61c | 439$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.21 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 39c | 342.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 25c | 285.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…8896backed Yes | 39c | 206.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yes | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed No | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 70c | 155$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ca…ac4cbacked No | 68c | 147.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 27c | 141.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…8696backed Yes | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 9c | 140.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 39c | 140.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 26c | 132.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 42c | 119.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 106.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ce…7d54backed Yes | 44c | 106.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 32c | 101.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 41c | 96.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 33c | 96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 32c | 94.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 74.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 33c | 57.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 59c | 57.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…ffdbbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…4a8cbacked Yes | 38c | 46.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Yes | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 29c | 42.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Yes | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Yes | 39c | 41.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 35c | 41.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3845…2298backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Yes | 33c | 37.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…fa11backed No | 62c | 35.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Yes | 40c | 34.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 39c | 34.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f5…0ea0backed No | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…affdbacked No | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.