Asian League · resolved market
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d53ace4e0ce2c0612a4f5a6cee5ba756c1ad636b1a10c5570b0f95fe6087450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 72c | 3,327$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.08 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 2,404$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.66 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 48c | 2,076$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Yes | 56c | 1,488$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 38c | 1,248$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.1 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 376.1$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 375.51$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 8c | 247.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.57 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 74c | 239.04$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.05 | 197 | 65.5%129 W · 68 L | +27.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 41c | 233$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 184 | 42.4%78 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 58c | 208.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed No | 12c | 168.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 8cpaid | +943.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed No | 13c | 166.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 147.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 51c | 133.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 56c | 112.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 13c | 111.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked No | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 108.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 55c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 24c | 57.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed No | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 44c | 53.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked No | 30c | 46.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 44c | 42.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 44c | 35.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 30.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 54c | 30.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 52c | 24.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 68c | 24.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 52c | 20.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked No | 52c | 20.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 55c | 19.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.