TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,126 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Over31c41,277$12,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,736.9617753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c7,398$4,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.575,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over48c3,555$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.2424523.3%57 W · 188 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fb…ced4backed Under1c2,637$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.952218.2%4 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick4cpaid+688.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over50c1,703$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.4276239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over25c1,108$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.232,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over16c1,100$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17610823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4806060%36 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over62c843.5$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.144035%14 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over39c759.99$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.3528732.8%94 W · 193 L-1.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over41c751.64$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.242,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under36c748.21$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.046541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa271…4fcabacked Over40c632.6$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under4c560.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.153917.9%7 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+100.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over75c533.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…8586backed Under3c525$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511560%3 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick8cpaid+943.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over41c472.73$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4726348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dfe…d954backed Over25c443.6$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.51333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under65c395.7$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2919261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under51c391.29$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.371,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over71c383.58$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.372360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under64c374.37$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3713246.2%61 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Under44c336.51$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.594854.2%26 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over61c327.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9912962%80 W · 49 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1173452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over62c299.88$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.489339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over29c288.3$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4893535.2%329 W · 606 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x179b…2b82backed Under71c282.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over65c228.68$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7424548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under68c223.72$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1437153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Over69c215.36$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.041330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under69c213.92$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3125155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over34c187.35$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9572944.2%322 W · 407 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Under77c166.86$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.425242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under64c165.94$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4423859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over48c149.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.017949.4%39 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+33.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under62c146$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4819354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6460…13cebacked Over69c144.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over70c143.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.815750.9%29 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+151%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Under71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed Under12c137.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.661643.8%7 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+153.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over25c134.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6996846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under63c125.76$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7424161.4%148 W · 93 L+17.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under62c120.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.974566.7%30 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under80c120$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over52c116.91$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0259342.5%252 W · 341 L-28.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over72c115.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.872240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511433.3%38 W · 76 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over26c114.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.485046%23 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over45c109.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.911,08041.7%450 W · 630 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa560…767dbacked Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under61c99.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3911839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under50c96.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.079944.4%44 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5d…df19backed Over38c94.74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over37c92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61,35745.5%617 W · 740 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over49c83.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1435751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over71c79.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.227037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under64c74.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.994055%22 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over48c74.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.641,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under64c71.42$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.877570.7%53 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under64c71.36$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.811573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over17c70.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.911233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over37c70$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.927337%101 W · 172 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over54c69.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5839861.8%246 W · 152 L+56.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under62c65.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8111148.6%54 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under62c58.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.410960.6%66 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Over45c56.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.852339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53969.2%27 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over49c48.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.591,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over48c47.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Under64c44.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.03616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-74.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc15c…67aabacked Over37c44.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.620157.2%115 W · 86 L+15.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under52c38.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.283964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under46c35.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.147155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Under63c35.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Over64c34.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.961233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe748…c645backed Under33c33.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.231060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7b…0769backed Under51c26.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.97955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under70c25.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5618261.5%112 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Over62c23.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over52c20.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.629350.9%149 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under72c18.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.164768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Under80c12.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.53278.1%25 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick78cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.