Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d4ad6146b2554fe2c6800df1352391cec841039006d42b3614a591a13afe99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 45c | 17,082$7,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,454.63 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 37c | 13,491$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,490.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 50c | 12,500$6,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,219.03 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -14.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd97d…6bf4backed No | 52c | 10,000$5,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,187.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 50c | 6,576$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Yes | 48c | 6,398$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 50c | 6,045$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.12 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 5,929$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904.5 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Yes | 52c | 5,740$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…9df6backed No | 4c | 5,553$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 45c | 4,513$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.58 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 4,310$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.44 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 53c | 4,062$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.51 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 54c | 3,050$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.5 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 49c | 2,790$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.86 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 2,325$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.17 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 56c | 2,260$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.94 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 1,828$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.61 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 55c | 1,726$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.59 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 45c | 1,726$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.05 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Yes | 52c | 1,548$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Yes | 50c | 1,483$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 56c | 1,440$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.4 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 3c | 1,310$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 56c | 1,260$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 4c | 1,256$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 49c | 1,195$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,152$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 1,100$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 56c | 1,094$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.17 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 56c | 1,080$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…813cbacked Yes | 52c | 964.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Yes | 51c | 921.57$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Yes | 52c | 877.38$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Yes | 51c | 745.1$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed No | 51c | 730.8$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 718.68$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.83 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 51c | 689.65$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.72 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 48c | 677$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.04 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Yes | 51c | 600$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 597.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 6c | 520.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 5c | 514.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…4eb6backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 47c | 497.51$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.68 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d23…9517backed Yes | 46c | 474.61$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked No | 17c | 470$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 79c | 445.46$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.97 | 357 | 46.2%165 W · 192 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 34c | 443.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.84 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…03c1backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 7c | 393.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 49c | 393.55$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.71 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 48c | 382.79$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.74 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 49c | 360$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.13 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 56c | 352$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2eb…f1b0backed No | 49c | 347.67$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 56c | 345$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb20d…83aebacked Yes | 49c | 340$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 52c | 333.66$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.6 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 49c | 329.45$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 40c | 319$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 46c | 306.05$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 143 | 41.3%59 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 57c | 304.81$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.02 | 383 | 47.8%183 W · 200 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 49c | 291.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 325 | 47.7%155 W · 170 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 56c | 288$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 56c | 288$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Yes | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 51c | 277.45$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 67c | 268.39$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 258.23$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 249.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 763 | 56.1%428 W · 335 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 50c | 245$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 48c | 207$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed No | 16c | 201$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…43aabacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 49c | 199.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 51c | 193.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 57c | 189$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 11c | 186.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked No | 52c | 185.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?No won
- Will Derry City FC win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.