TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c4…7385backed No34c8,000$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.9932037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…50c2backed Yes69c6,013$4,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No31c4,312$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.675650%28 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8701580%12 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No31c2,736$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.4983459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No32c2,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.9913547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes71c2,493$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.964264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No33c2,050$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.4768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No1c1,924$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2414062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes77c1,723$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.3438645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1511638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes70c1,428$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.6711548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes66c1,425$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.2240254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No29c1,342$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.6816660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes66c1,267$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.693256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes71c1,206$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.8318433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No31c1,200$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9915337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No30c1,101$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.340046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No28c1,035$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.0937841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e0…2b21backed Yes69c999.99$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No31c999.58$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.5856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes68c900.28$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.094052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes67c815.1$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.994136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes66c814.7$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27928070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No31c730$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0760557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d00…d4b4backed Yes71c621.54$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes66c606$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.047241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes70c460.31$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.093360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1d…fa35backed Yes69c435$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe815…93f4backed Yes71c342.75$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.451330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8729653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3237652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes70c285.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.929037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes42c283.02$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.741,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes69c260.87$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8717146.8%80 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No30c255$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1140135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes70c249.87$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.964949%24 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29b6…ddd5backed No31c227.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…2d23backed Yes68c223.12$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.41442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x939f…1ca5backed No32c217.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2718740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe528…6385backed Yes67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5842755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No31c199.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4296…4cb1backed No33c198.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6358…71c2backed Yes70c195.77$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No29c187.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.463718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes59c169.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8625637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No33c151$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.837159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes67c150.01$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.57034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.59747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed No32c149.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.324645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.066944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes69c146.28$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.778149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9326054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1276…6d30backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No38c135.3$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe7ec…dcc8backed Yes71c133.92$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Yes70c125.71$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.712055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f1…f229backed Yes69c120.02$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.027949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked No32c118.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388752.9%46 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes69c110$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.112149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8177…492bbacked Yes70c105.01$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3115636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa52…85b7backed Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes67c93.95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3132736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc68…f434backed Yes69c90.88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97a…d3f7backed Yes70c78.9$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.37450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5024…9433backed Yes69c75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.535541.8%23 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4eb9…1e95backed Yes71c71.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+71.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…a66abacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…eb16backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa896…2043backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.429750.5%49 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes68c68.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.986854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe69c…5b31backed Yes69c64.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…d7c7backed Yes69c64.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f38…bae1backed Yes69c63.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13e…a34dbacked Yes71c62.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x144c…5134backed Yes71c62.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf709…a45abacked Yes69c62.17$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aab…c911backed Yes51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.43330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd0…f87dbacked Yes70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe45c…40e9backed Yes68c58.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.822948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f0c…99adbacked Yes71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes65c53.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93663.9%23 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3025…fccdbacked Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e09…3cb2backed No32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed No33c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed No33c48.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.83825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…0834backed Yes67c46.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.231070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.