Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf499113c35db14746f96453e144e65a73288e27460cf54c77d83e2988be44f2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 53c | 13,000$6,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,844.02 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Yes | 48c | 2,915$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 49c | 2,371$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.6 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 23c | 2,005$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.58 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 67c | 1,617$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.78 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 47c | 1,580$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.25 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,180$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.4 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 75c | 1,159$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.68 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 975.52$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.51 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 48c | 662.71$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.61 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 47c | 638.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 47c | 617.14$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.08 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 7c | 574.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 48c | 566.27$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.46 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 49c | 427.35$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.26 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 393$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.29 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed No | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 52c | 345.39$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 39c | 265$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 57c | 208$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.47 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked No | 52c | 192.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 48c | 177.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 47c | 175$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 40c | 146$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 50c | 139.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 51c | 124.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 52c | 121.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 43c | 116.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Yes | 61c | 98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 48c | 97.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 53c | 93.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 51c | 93.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 55c | 81.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 50c | 75.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…2544backed Yes | 63c | 55.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e52…5535backed Yes | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…ec66backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 50c | 38.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 56c | 25.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 50c | 23.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 62c | 23.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 47c | 21.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…2d24backed Yes | 49c | 20.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 20.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a27…0e7bbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will FK Žalgiris Vilnius win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.