MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b67c342645c677b65e464bbdcae86fadd470d8091d02afd0a836a127e878cec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 45c | 55,555$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,555.21 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 58c | 40,890$23,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,857.97 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 42c | 24,485$10,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,246.6 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Under | 60c | 16,667$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 16,468$9,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,122.8 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 55c | 15,165$8,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,342.59 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 14,701$7,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,540.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 13,504$5,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,571.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 45c | 8,782$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,869.09 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 5,281$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 62c | 3,806$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Under | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Under | 52c | 2,443$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Under | 54c | 2,144$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.13 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 46c | 2,025$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.75 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 33c | 1,864$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.75 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 1,761$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 1,692$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.33 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 54c | 1,621$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.29 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 42c | 1,470$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.29 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 44c | 1,451$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.55 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 66c | 1,385$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.38 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 1,371$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.02 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 65c | 1,293$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.09 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 42c | 1,154$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.56 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…0f99backed Under | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 1,060$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.81 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 995$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.29 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 44c | 975$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.56 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 45c | 932.75$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.2 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 55c | 900.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 44c | 895.65$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.36 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 54c | 832.09$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 44c | 796$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.76 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Under | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 47c | 700$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 46c | 632.39$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.49 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 30c | 626.88$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.05 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Over | 76c | 520$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 57c | 496$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 55c | 489.29$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.11 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 46c | 460$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.94 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 46c | 439.69$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.53 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…8b5fbacked Under | 39c | 415.72$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 39c | 399.22$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 44c | 396$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.77 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 391.16$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 370.47$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.87 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…636cbacked Under | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 35c | 315.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 307.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.77 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Under | 45c | 301.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 39c | 254$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 244.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 244$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 46c | 228$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 66c | 206.05$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 46c | 194.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 47c | 194.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 46c | 164.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…2858backed Under | 52c | 161.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 44c | 156.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 45c | 154.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 152.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 39c | 152.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 45c | 134.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 50c | 134$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Under | 56c | 122.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 46c | 105.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 59c | 104.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…52d9backed Under | 56c | 103.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 45c | 102.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Over | 45c | 100.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf078…48d5backed Under | 47c | 95.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 65c | 89.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…108bbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.