MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aea822e1a248aeb79d8b33c390c3a58170fde6dfa6c85a64441cb13f0e991cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof San Francisco Giants, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 30,396$19,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,659.12 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 23,350$8,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2740…281cbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 20,590$7,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,206.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 18,469$11,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,779.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 16,646$6,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,491.94 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 13,686$7,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,906.8 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…2908backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 9,555$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked San Francisco Giants | 6c | 8,924$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 8,380$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.95 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 7,942$4,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.6 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 7,912$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.18 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 5,450$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.83 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 4,590$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.17 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 4,473$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.84 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 4,467$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.05 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 4,345$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.17 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 4,048$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.05 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 3,800$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 3,611$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 3,272$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.64 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 2,692$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.21 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 2,412$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.68 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 2,137$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.3 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 2,067$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.01 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 1,825$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.48 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 1,806$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.94 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,779$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.05 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,749$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.32 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,690$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.04 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,469$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.73 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 1,270$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.84 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 73c | 1,187$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,176$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.6 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,126$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 1,077$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Francisco Giants | 28c | 1,028$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.7 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,006$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.24 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Seattle Mariners | 75c | 959.73$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.46 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 948.43$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.39 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…a04fbacked San Francisco Giants | 4c | 875$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 871.37$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.57 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 833$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.21 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 794.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.94 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 769$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Seattle Mariners | 37c | 752.8$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.78 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 745.3$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.66 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 726.69$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.79 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 668.68$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.59 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 634.78$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.36 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 595.66$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 573.11$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 560$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 554.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 528.73$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…e2c4backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 509.87$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 504.04$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.34 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 452$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 446.79$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.72 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 443.38$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.19 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 425$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants | 26c | 420.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.87 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked San Francisco Giants | 27c | 399.71$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 392$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 383.65$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.92 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 374.73$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.25 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 353.67$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.97 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 314.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…e97cbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 312.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 303$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 299.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 295.17$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.29 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…17dfbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 294.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…b1fbbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 276$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 273$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…0845backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 272.58$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 270$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 267.94$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 259.14$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 244.28$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 222.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 218.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 218.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 217.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.