MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93d00e9261f859d9c4ccbda64cdee761f62ba9b8d488df56742010c6a7e94801
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Minnesota Twins, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 56,073$34,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,868.65 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 18,267$7,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,124 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Minnesota Twins | 1c | 17,043$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 16,044$6,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,251.96 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 13,558$8,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,152.06 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 6,130$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.59 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 4,532$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 4,099$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.6 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 3,129$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.06 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Minnesota Twins | 1c | 2,970$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 2,802$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.07 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 2,210$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.77 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 1,833$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,560$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,521$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 4c | 1,497$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,166$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.21 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,052$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.76 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 8c | 1,024$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,024$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 961.54$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 801.31$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 726.38$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.83 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 11c | 717.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 533.61$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.29 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 515$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.85 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fe…4a05backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 387.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 384.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 324.84$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 319.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 288$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 270$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 269.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Minnesota Twins | 35c | 257.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 247.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 236.39$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ac…e8c0backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 197$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x327c…7ce7backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 194$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 191.39$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Minnesota Twins | 11c | 177.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 80c | 174.45$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 158.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 155.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…afa2backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 346 | 44.8%155 W · 191 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 150.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 138$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329f…3f5bbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 252 | 44%111 W · 141 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 115.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 99.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Minnesota Twins | 12c | 97.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 61.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | -10.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 59.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 58.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 57.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 53.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Minnesota Twins | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…4f00backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 48.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Minnesota Twins | 27c | 47.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 45.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 45.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 40.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…e7aabacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8648…7072backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 38.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 372 | 43.8%163 W · 209 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 33.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…625cbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 214 | 64%137 W · 77 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.