TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2ac…e8c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.92
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.08
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.44
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.56
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.24
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.16
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.12
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.3
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.42
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$21
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$29.21
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.35
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.56
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.33
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$123.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$66.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oeiras 4: Tiago Pereira vs Gastao Eliasbacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.