TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Oeiras 4: Tiago Pereira vs Gastao Elias

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tiago Pereiraof Tiago Pereira, Gastao Elias
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0020…4d7ebacked Gastao Elias0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gastao Elias40c9,313$3,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,760.697,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Gastao Elias7c4,700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Gastao Elias25c4,301$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.478,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tiago Pereira77c3,963$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.626,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Gastao Elias3c3,600$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1157732.5%25 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Gastao Elias7c3,200$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Gastao Elias7c3,200$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201010%1 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick4cpaid+80.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5e…75a4backed Gastao Elias1c3,193$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Tiago Pereira56c3,108$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.5421244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Gastao Elias9c2,300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161752.9%9 W · 8 L+7.1wins+0.42per pick11cpaid+342.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Gastao Elias46c2,033$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.3925453.1%135 W · 119 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tiago Pereira72c1,618$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.134,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Gastao Elias4c1,588$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.654617.4%8 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tiago Pereira58c1,565$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6556,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked Gastao Elias7c1,400$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951241.7%5 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick11cpaid+184.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Gastao Elias7c1,400$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9519941.7%83 W · 116 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Gastao Elias13c1,324$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3817617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Gastao Elias46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008045%36 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Gastao Elias10c1,212$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.54124.4%10 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Gastao Elias7c1,100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754932.7%16 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+131.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tiago Pereira54c1,052$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.924,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Gastao Elias42c987.5$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.759,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Gastao Elias9c917$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.235927.1%16 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Gastao Elias10c912$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1916718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tiago Pereira56c862.5$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.5511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ad0…cdc2backed Tiago Pereira73c620.79$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.611148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Gastao Elias10c620$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.469438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Tiago Pereira66c619.17$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.085,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tiago Pereira54c602.74$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.263,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Gastao Elias42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Gastao Elias5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307828.2%22 W · 56 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick13cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Gastao Elias18c536.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.582,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Gastao Elias45c499.98$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.92,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tiago Pereira56c488.53$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.281,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x890a…7623backed Tiago Pereira63c472.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8924975.5%188 W · 61 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Gastao Elias42c463.64$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7380938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Tiago Pereira52c410$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.441,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Gastao Elias13c400$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tiago Pereira62c384.19$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.828,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Tiago Pereira55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Tiago Pereira78c347.11$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.364,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Tiago Pereira57c303.46$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5460856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tiago Pereira60c285.4$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.868,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Gastao Elias43c275$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2534549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Tiago Pereira58c273.68$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.952,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed Gastao Elias15c271$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.894332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Tiago Pereira55c270$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.763746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Gastao Elias22c264.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7529533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Gastao Elias36c251.37$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.584,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Tiago Pereira57c209.75$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1929241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Gastao Elias43c203$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.297,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Gastao Elias11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2245235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Tiago Pereira59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8252854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Tiago Pereira58c195.83$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.254,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tiago Pereira65c191.46$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.36,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Gastao Elias46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.83,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Gastao Elias47c179.25$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2511945.4%54 W · 65 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Tiago Pereira53c179.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2569253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Gastao Elias41c175.04$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.573,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Tiago Pereira58c172.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3925763.4%163 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tiago Pereira58c170.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.267,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Gastao Elias7c167$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3730040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Gastao Elias46c162.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.791,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…0685backed Tiago Pereira54c159.26$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2614757.1%84 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Tiago Pereira57c135.25$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1615040%60 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Tiago Pereira53c133.24$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7440161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Gastao Elias25c121.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Tiago Pereira72c121$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8892674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Gastao Elias43c117$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.727,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Tiago Pereira55c101.2$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.262,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Gastao Elias21c101$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9451339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Gastao Elias46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Tiago Pereira55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4589364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Tiago Pereira56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4423865.5%156 W · 82 L+31.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Tiago Pereira54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5966452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Gastao Elias44c90.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75f…d7f6backed Tiago Pereira56c76.79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7920764.7%134 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Tiago Pereira61c76.07$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.672,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Tiago Pereira54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Gastao Elias46c69.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.012,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Gastao Elias47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.082,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Gastao Elias47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.081,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x445b…cc32backed Tiago Pereira55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.555354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Gastao Elias44c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.781,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Tiago Pereira48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Tiago Pereira62c51.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6374346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Gastao Elias32c51.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6585624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Gastao Elias27c51.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.661,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Tiago Pereira54c51.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5489859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Gastao Elias43c50.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6118551.9%96 W · 89 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Gastao Elias43c50.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6119548.2%94 W · 101 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Gastao Elias43c50.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.618139.5%32 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Gastao Elias43c50.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6114452.8%76 W · 68 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Gastao Elias20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107341.1%30 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Gastao Elias44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Gastao Elias43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013451.5%69 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Tiago Pereira64c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6112166.9%81 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Gastao Elias23c45.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.672,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Gastao Elias26c44.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.