MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac995673b482de640623367583c05737f4a0b56af9a49136e5784f5b9637e27d

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $168,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $168,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,287 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x72d8…5213backed Over	53c	104,465$55,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,366.4	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+9.2wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under	47c	100,404$47,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,214.06	411	49.1%202 W · 209 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under	48c	25,294$12,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,152.81	444	46.8%208 W · 236 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	52c	20,958$10,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,813.6	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under	47c	13,342$6,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,071.32	323	51.7%167 W · 156 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over	53c	12,900$6,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,837	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	53c	5,578$2,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,937.72	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	47c	4,798$2,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,538.25	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under	48c	4,149$1,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,154.14	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	52c	2,155$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.5	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	52c	2,003$1,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.55	1,078	48.1%518 W · 560 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under	49c	1,200$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	47c	1,135$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.17	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	47c	1,088$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.64	1,797	50.4%906 W · 891 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over	53c	1,067$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.51	686	52.9%363 W · 323 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Under	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Under	45c	894.98$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.4	116	62.9%73 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	47c	822.93$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.75	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under	48c	800$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under	49c	715$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.65	274	49.3%135 W · 139 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	49c	653.92$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.96	4,368	47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L	-79.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over	54c	576.5$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.31	878	50.5%443 W · 435 L	+12.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	47c	420$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.6	2,311	51%1,179 W · 1,132 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over	53c	356.74$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.07	403	48.4%195 W · 208 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	51c	312.72$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.25	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Over	53c	306.83$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.62	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over	54c	296.29$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	963	49%472 W · 491 L	-39.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	59c	236.88$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	4,087	57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L	+66.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	49c	228.07$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.35	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	41c	212$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.61	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under	48c	210$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.2	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	382	52.1%199 W · 183 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over	52c	195$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.4	1,445	50%723 W · 722 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over	48c	193$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.64	290	43.1%125 W · 165 L	-12.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over	53c	192.45$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	53c	175$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.75	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b3…c2d0backed Under	50c	160$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8e…b226backed Under	50c	160$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Over	58c	158.32$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.42	765	58%444 W · 321 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d0…4cc1backed Over	51c	157.37$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x505a…6e9fbacked Over	51c	156.86$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd315…e388backed Over	51c	156.86$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be4…af85backed Under	51c	156.86$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.86	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	56c	141.47$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.03	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over	52c	140.48$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.05	274	54.4%149 W · 125 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Over	54c	140$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	451	49.2%222 W · 229 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	52c	129$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.08	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over	63c	126.92$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.96	435	60%261 W · 174 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Over	59c	121.58$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.73	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over	53c	120$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	53c	118$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.29	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	53c	117.53$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.29	3,460	51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L	+107.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	65c	116.6$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under	50c	98.75$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.83	1,147	31.6%362 W · 785 L	-97.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	31c	96.61$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.76	5,812	43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L	-188.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under	42c	95.32$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.29	2,588	61.5%1,591 W · 997 L	+72.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	43c	80.65$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.02	1,928	17.2%331 W · 1,597 L	-320.9wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over	30c	73.44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.03	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Over	53c	66$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Over	54c	63.01$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.98	164	50.6%83 W · 81 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcd…724dbacked Over	53c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over	50c	59.51$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7fe…4a05backed Under	70c	57.14$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.14	47	70.2%33 W · 14 L	+4.3wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	48c	56$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.04	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Over	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	96	39.6%38 W · 58 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over	53c	53.34$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.27	312	58%181 W · 131 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	241	52.7%127 W · 114 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Over	53c	45.45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.09	132	60.6%80 W · 52 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	49c	44.9$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	3,841	42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under	36c	43.69$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.77	4,187	50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L	+94.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Over	53c	41.51$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	119	59.7%71 W · 48 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	47c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.2	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424c…82b5backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	193	52.8%102 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	48c	39.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.77	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	47c	36.99$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Over	54c	36.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	102	52%53 W · 49 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	50c	32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	47c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.9	2,413	49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L	+22.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.38	358	49.4%177 W · 181 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under	49c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab5…da6bbacked Under	41c	29.62$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.49	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6123…8b33backed Over	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	268	53.7%144 W · 124 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Over	53c	26.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x123e…eed4backed Over	53c	26.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under	47c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.25	258	50.4%130 W · 128 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x409d…8f47backed Under	49c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	110	50.9%56 W · 54 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	52c	24.52$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…7695backed Over	54c	22.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over	67c	21.36$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	507	48.7%247 W · 260 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Under	70c	21.3$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.39	94	73.4%69 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	74cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb68a…ce1fbacked Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Over	76c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	937	73.5%689 W · 248 L	+16.7wins	+0.02per pick	72cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over	76c	16.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.41	536	44.6%239 W · 297 L	-11.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over	75c	15.95$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5this page
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event