MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a50383c5e07b5fe2b8df3c1a47471225edfd73637f37922bb010da54b54769

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cincinnati Redsof New York Mets, Cincinnati Reds
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $670,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $700,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,705 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x89dd…f662backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	302,199$142,537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159,662.4	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed New York Mets	53c	212,773$112,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112,769.69	469	49%230 W · 239 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds	49c	77,199$37,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,371.51	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets	45c	47,145$21,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,365.54	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked New York Mets	52c	38,000$19,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,760	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds	80c	34,265$27,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,875.63	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets	53c	27,000$14,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,309.99	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…1846backed New York Mets	31c	21,045$6,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,477.33	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets	51c	17,054$8,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,753.53	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets	53c	14,068$7,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,456.29	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	13,706$6,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,219.99	149	43.6%65 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	10,510$5,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,465.37	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed New York Mets	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,200	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked New York Mets	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed New York Mets	23c	9,755$2,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,253.66	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds	78c	9,077$7,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,957.17	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds	79c	8,132$6,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,695.45	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets	22c	7,897$1,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,706.2	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed New York Mets	52c	7,777$4,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,044.04	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	+18.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets	53c	5,660$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	4,201$1,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,226.6	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed New York Mets	16c	3,698$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets	52c	3,595$1,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,855.62	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Cincinnati Reds	49c	3,525$1,734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,790.93	328	50.3%165 W · 163 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds	67c	3,296$2,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,074.53	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds	75c	3,287$2,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.62	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed New York Mets	13c	3,276$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.89	522	28%146 W · 376 L	-57.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	3,125$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625	199	50.3%100 W · 99 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets	52c	3,113$1,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,618.75	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed New York Mets	53c	2,051$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.62	575	48%276 W · 299 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds	76c	1,744$1,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.56	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets	52c	1,667$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.84	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets	53c	1,613$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.81	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked New York Mets	54c	1,557$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.29	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Mets	53c	1,500$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Mets	53c	1,307$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.71	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed New York Mets	52c	1,289$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.19	285	53.3%152 W · 133 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	1,280$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.59	209	45%94 W · 115 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets	53c	1,237$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.61	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets	21c	1,184$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.31	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed New York Mets	47c	1,167$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.67	613	52.5%322 W · 291 L	+29.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets	22c	1,156$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.37	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets	51c	1,125$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.57	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets	35c	1,116$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.38	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked New York Mets	53c	1,010$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	221	53.4%118 W · 103 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed New York Mets	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	244	48.4%118 W · 126 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed New York Mets	51c	999.98$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.99	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds	46c	999.96$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.98	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Cincinnati Reds	74c	990.78$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.74	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked New York Mets	53c	943$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	133	45.9%61 W · 72 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked New York Mets	53c	881$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.93	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed New York Mets	30c	845.51$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.71	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets	18c	750$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets	51c	685$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.35	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed New York Mets	52c	677.56$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.33	311	49.2%153 W · 158 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked New York Mets	53c	659.29$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.42	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed New York Mets	23c	638.09$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.21	536	44.6%239 W · 297 L	-11.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	600$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63cf…8cf4backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	600$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19c…0e99backed New York Mets	53c	600$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked New York Mets	11c	592.52$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.18	266	18.4%49 W · 217 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	589.99$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.7	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked New York Mets	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked New York Mets	53c	580$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.4	394	40.9%161 W · 233 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked New York Mets	52c	576.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	144	57.6%83 W · 61 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	569.16$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.96	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed New York Mets	16c	555.55$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.43	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked New York Mets	54c	552.63$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.42	481	47%226 W · 255 L	-31.8wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	550$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.5	958	50%479 W · 479 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Cincinnati Reds	77c	543.99$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.12	718	50.1%360 W · 358 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	520.83$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.83	327	42.2%138 W · 189 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked New York Mets	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	377	48.8%184 W · 193 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked New York Mets	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	174	17.2%30 W · 144 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked New York Mets	21c	471.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed New York Mets	21c	467$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.46	400	43%172 W · 228 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed New York Mets	23c	450$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.36	656	51.2%336 W · 320 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked New York Mets	52c	439.98$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.46	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed New York Mets	53c	430.29$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.73	469	46.3%217 W · 252 L	-25.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	426$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.78	1,137	46.3%526 W · 611 L	+36.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	420$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.4	483	54.7%264 W · 219 L	+20.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds	47c	420$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.6	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951a…8c9dbacked New York Mets	5c	408.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked New York Mets	11c	403$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.33	274	50.7%139 W · 135 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed New York Mets	43c	399.49$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.83	112	55.4%62 W · 50 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked New York Mets	18c	395.89$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.26	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-8.8wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Mets	14c	390.04$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	851	48.5%413 W · 438 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked New York Mets	24c	387.04$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.48	276	52.9%146 W · 130 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed New York Mets	18c	382.24$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.53	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6862…8c75backed New York Mets	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds	77c	376.6$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.36	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cincinnati Reds	79c	319.72$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.01	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed New York Mets	51c	315$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.65	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed New York Mets	53c	312.98$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.2	446	48.7%217 W · 229 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds	47c	310$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.3	1,310	43.6%571 W · 739 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed New York Mets	16c	305.14$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.08	570	46.8%267 W · 303 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed New York Mets	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	693	51.9%360 W · 333 L	+26.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event