Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Dinamo Tbilisi win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd4654e4713f104e11787fca683fd71804e3c12623edcf8db58781e708bd02cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x496b…79a8backed Yes | 69c | 3,200$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 1,706$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.91 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 68c | 1,700$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +238.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 31c | 1,288$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.79 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 1,100$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.09 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 991.01$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.15 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 62c | 868$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.16 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 40c | 713.79$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.39 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 36c | 535.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.69 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 36c | 469.7$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.69 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 64c | 469.61$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.55 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 32c | 339.07$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.57 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 32c | 339.07$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.57 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 67c | 313.43$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 274.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.51 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 32c | 261.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.62 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fe…4a05backed Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 53c | 207$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 352 | 46.3%163 W · 189 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 31c | 199.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.02 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…6bc0backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 32c | 123.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 68c | 114.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 31c | 99.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 51c | 78.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 59c | 77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 66c | 71.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 36c | 71.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 68c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 68c | 61.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed No | 20c | 57.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 48.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…f4e5backed No | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 70c | 45.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 69c | 41.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…1de0backed Yes | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Yes | 66c | 37.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 56c | 37.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Yes | 70c | 33.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea76…276bbacked Yes | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…2c16backed Yes | 62c | 30.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +187.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…6850backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Dinamo Tbilisi win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will SK Dinamo Tbilisi vs. US Mondorf-les-Bains end in a draw?No won
- Will US Mondorf-les-Bains win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.