Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Dinamo Tbilisi vs. US Mondorf-les-Bains end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaf3a2387ed1baadb463713637532a5cbc3e9a9b5efb3436aaec7f7332217e40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 53c | 2,590$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.59 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 1,913$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.67 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 870$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 67c | 843.09$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.13 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 41c | 657$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed No | 56c | 427.18$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 20c | 343.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 80c | 332.55$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes | 62c | 266.94$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 12c | 233$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 34c | 160.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 151.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 32c | 124.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 49c | 94.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 80c | 91.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 19c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed No | 50c | 59.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…4effbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…224dbacked Yes | 61c | 30.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Dinamo Tbilisi vs. US Mondorf-les-Bains end in a draw?this page
- Will SK Dinamo Tbilisi win on 2026-07-16?No won
- Will US Mondorf-les-Bains win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.