Tennis · resolved market
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4a34145ec848003007e48228cf11806c2eaad6e76fe8c42ab2454527d77e1e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59a2…5014backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 14,291$10,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under 3.5 | 30c | 7,488$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under 3.5 | 30c | 7,214$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.52 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under 3.5 | 30c | 6,083$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.66 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…dc6ebacked Over 3.5 | 69c | 2,679$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over 3.5 | 71c | 2,121$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.6 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 1,985$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.79 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under 3.5 | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.5 | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Under 3.5 | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 794.72$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 779.3$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.17 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…2a32backed Over 3.5 | 71c | 745.83$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 599.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over 3.5 | 70c | 574.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.86 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Under 3.5 | 31c | 557.26$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.72 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under 3.5 | 32c | 539.86$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.56 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Under 3.5 | 18c | 511.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 434.56$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…dec0backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 379.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over 3.5 | 71c | 350$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 335$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under 3.5 | 30c | 325.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under 3.5 | 31c | 314.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 299.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Over 3.5 | 71c | 247.93$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under 3.5 | 31c | 216.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under 3.5 | 29c | 200.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Over 3.5 | 69c | 200.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Over 3.5 | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 195.3$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 170.71$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a3…52dbbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…b918backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 151.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 116.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Under 3.5 | 30c | 99.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under 3.5 | 32c | 94.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…04abbacked Under 3.5 | 32c | 71.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…3b0bbacked Over 3.5 | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…18a2backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 58.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1300…d632backed Over 3.5 | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Over 3.5 | 69c | 50.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfd…fb46backed Under 3.5 | 31c | 41.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…d0c7backed Under 3.5 | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Over 3.5 | 71c | 35.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fe…4a05backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 3.5 | 75c | 14.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicAuger-Aliassime won
- Set 3 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 4 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicAuger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+2.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.