Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba5f01a4bc426a43927c0e0ce3d0063343e1b9fc75396c644c82da398cefe804
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Djokovic, Auger-Aliassime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 20c | 2,794$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.89 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 80c | 2,607$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.39 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Djokovic | 21c | 1,708$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.27 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…dcc2backed Djokovic | 26c | 1,106$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Djokovic | 3c | 905.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Auger-Aliassime | 79c | 893.92$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.72 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…2302backed Djokovic | 25c | 809.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Auger-Aliassime | 75c | 718.62$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.79 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 74c | 525$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…2739backed Auger-Aliassime | 78c | 512.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Auger-Aliassime | 75c | 409.25$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Djokovic | 25c | 400.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Auger-Aliassime | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…5756backed Djokovic | 26c | 376.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…593abacked Auger-Aliassime | 78c | 257.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Djokovic | 22c | 168.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Auger-Aliassime | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Auger-Aliassime | 79c | 86.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Djokovic | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Auger-Aliassime | 74c | 71.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Auger-Aliassime | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf59…a7ecbacked Djokovic | 28c | 54.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed Auger-Aliassime | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Auger-Aliassime | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Auger-Aliassime | 78c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…05c0backed Auger-Aliassime | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+2.5)this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicAuger-Aliassime won
- Set 3 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 4 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicAuger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.