Tennis · resolved market
Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3525dc16378687db1ad326d1d18f772e61b31684d57dee58b33eae40d1e824e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 56c | 2,650$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.13 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Under | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 59c | 1,614$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.51 | 576 | 49.5%285 W · 291 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 44c | 1,076$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.94 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 692 | 44.4%307 W · 385 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f6…e325backed Under | 44c | 650.98$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 41c | 615.29$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.96 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 59c | 512.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.73 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 404.67$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.3 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Over | 55c | 329.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…4fd0backed Under | 43c | 302$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 42c | 300.53$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.52 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Over | 54c | 237.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 235.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 13c | 207$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Over | 59c | 205$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 426 | 43.9%187 W · 239 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 42c | 199.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 538 | 47%253 W · 285 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…109fbacked Over | 52c | 191.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 60c | 166.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 46c | 161.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 25c | 145$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 58c | 126$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 31c | 122.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…53eebacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Under | 44c | 70.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x601e…5970backed Over | 57c | 69.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 29c | 68.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 43c | 67.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Over | 65c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed Under | 48c | 60.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 58c | 57.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 61c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 64c | 51.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Over | 54c | 36.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…b1b6backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Over | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…77cfbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 25.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicAuger-Aliassime won
- Set 3 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 4 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicAuger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+2.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.