Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x503c0e9fde43a959e8b4aafead8934e38985ca29a117c724e7e09d8a0d3076cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Djokovic | 11c | 1,382$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.98 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Djokovic | 44c | 819.73$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 705.46$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.36 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Djokovic | 52c | 517.38$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 506.44$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.65 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f39…f8f2backed Djokovic | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Djokovic | 43c | 400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 132 | 37.9%50 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 69c | 389.74$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.18 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Djokovic | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…7cdbbacked Auger-Aliassime | 53c | 307.26$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Djokovic | 53c | 303.49$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 272.49$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.42 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…43f9backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 263.24$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Auger-Aliassime | 53c | 226.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Djokovic | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Djokovic | 49c | 139.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Djokovic | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Auger-Aliassime | 53c | 69.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Djokovic | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf10…d72fbacked Djokovic | 47c | 59.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Djokovic | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…4007backed Djokovic | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Djokovic | 33c | 32.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Djokovicthis page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 3 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 4 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicAuger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+2.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.