Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x459b6565aa35dd4389d0d432918da3f525f9ffda83f66848e15c56b7d373f78b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Auger-Aliassime, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Auger-Aliassime | 43c | 3,237$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.51 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Djokovic | 58c | 1,789$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.59 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Djokovic | 56c | 1,158$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.59 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Djokovic | 54c | 1,105$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.18 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Djokovic | 56c | 1,102$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.08 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Auger-Aliassime | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Auger-Aliassime | 43c | 964.06$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.32 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Djokovic | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 618$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.92 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 599.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.95 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 395$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Djokovic | 57c | 345.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.77 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Djokovic | 55c | 308.94$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.35 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Djokovic | 61c | 279.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Djokovic | 30c | 248.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.13 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Djokovic | 48c | 239.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Auger-Aliassime | 39c | 228.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…4525backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 209.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 206.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…7cdbbacked Djokovic | 58c | 165.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Djokovic | 48c | 152.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Djokovic | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Auger-Aliassime | 70c | 119.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 116.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 104.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…2dd7backed Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 104.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…bfc6backed Djokovic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 99.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9957…2b4abacked Djokovic | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Auger-Aliassime | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Auger-Aliassime | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Djokovic | 40c | 69.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Auger-Aliassime | 43c | 68.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 64.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdf…30c1backed Djokovic | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef6…434abacked Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 53.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 50.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Djokovic | 53c | 43.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Djokovic | 60c | 43.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…328fbacked Djokovic | 47c | 42.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Djokovic | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…9bf5backed Djokovic | 56c | 29.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Djokovic | 55c | 27.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Auger-Aliassime | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Djokovicthis page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicAuger-Aliassime won
- Set 3 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 4 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicAuger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+2.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.