Tennis · resolved market
Set 3 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fa744c90ce3744228d589900ef6679401771215287d5939b19a4cba47480e77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Auger-Aliassime, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Djokovic | 50c | 1,562$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.65 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 1,039$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.32 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Djokovic | 51c | 611.04$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.58 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Auger-Aliassime | 5c | 409.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e93…9145backed Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 353.46$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.47 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 328.82$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…1c51backed Djokovic | 49c | 279.16$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.37 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Auger-Aliassime | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Djokovic | 50c | 117.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Djokovic | 43c | 106.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Djokovic | 48c | 97.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Djokovic | 42c | 91.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…c55cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 91.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…14bcbacked Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Djokovic | 69c | 85.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Auger-Aliassime | 53c | 62.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf10…d72fbacked Djokovic | 47c | 62.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Djokovic | 52c | 62.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Djokovic | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Djokovic | 47c | 42.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Djokovic | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac5fbacked Djokovic | 53c | 33.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -8.6wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…328fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 32.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb58b…6c37backed Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 28.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…c22bbacked Djokovic | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc143…27b4backed Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 3 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Djokovicthis page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicAuger-Aliassime won
- Set 4 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs DjokovicAuger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+2.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.