MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f8c5043264ddb6231c7a262515aded31c4f7b3dde356eeaa239f169d186f9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof St. Louis Cardinals, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $548,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $547,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $548,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b21…a230backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 206,199$104,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,399.34 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 53,497$26,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,688.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 41,690$20,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,169.21 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 40,906$20,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,631.54 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 24,669$11,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,161.58 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 20,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 19,259$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,259.26 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 15,000$8,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,763.4 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 14,632$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 13,158$6,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,513.29 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 12,512$6,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,180.72 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 7,617$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.11 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 6,784$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.96 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 6,746$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.94 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 6,490$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,309.79 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 5,699$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.63 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 5,520$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.96 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 4,931$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.5 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 4,047$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.86 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 4,013$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 3,527$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.38 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…3f5abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 3,414$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.59 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 3,134$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.08 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 2,938$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.89 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 2,745$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.71 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 2,729$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.04 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,295$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.25 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,261$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,030$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.21 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,979$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.68 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,972$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,957$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.42 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,852$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.64 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,623$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 1,533$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.03 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 78c | 1,440$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.67 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,375$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 1,313$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.39 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 1,279$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.5 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 1,130$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.95 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 1,130$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.14 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,050$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.53 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 1,019$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.29 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 1,001$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 951.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.96 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 920.75$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.75 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 836.33$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.53 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 832.75$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 806$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.69 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 751.72$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 723.29$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.01 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f81…fc4abacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 660$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…2d57backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 660$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +62%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 646.81$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 635.53$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.93 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 626.92$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 590.7$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 587.67$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.6 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 585.33$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.81 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 579.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 564.26$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.93 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 534.1$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.34 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 519.21$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.14 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 510$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.62 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 504.2$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.01 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 502.89$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.51 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 450.75$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.02 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…89cebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 448.2$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 444.21$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.1 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 425.92$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.27 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 399.95$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.98 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 399.81$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.03 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 383$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Minnesota Twins | 76c | 360$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 322$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 306.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 304$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 299.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.