MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x024894cf2eea678a8fcf231ce51d26777160230112d5fe93420573b741b2b603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 49,928$34,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,309.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 27,656$7,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,564.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 25,325$13,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,929 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 24,999$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,749.61 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 24,500$11,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,040.63 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 23,161$10,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,738.56 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 72c | 22,176$15,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,288.6 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 22,000$12,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,099.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 13,326$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 10,000$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,449.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 7,122$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.47 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 4,097$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.41 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 3,996$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 3,756$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.8 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 2,787$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.57 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,696$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.67 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,590$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.24 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked San Diego Padres | 71c | 2,461$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.98 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 1,993$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.13 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,942$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.26 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 1,878$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.74 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,766$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.58 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,548$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.56 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,543$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.33 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,478$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.56 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 1,450$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.9 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 1,316$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 1,300$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.71 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,279$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.12 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 1,142$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.62 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…3535backed Cleveland Guardians | 4c | 1,059$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,000$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 981.5$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.83 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 950.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 946.02$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.93 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 926.61$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.57 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 781.25$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.25 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 780$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.6 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 761.14$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.97 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 752.71$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 731.21$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.23 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 635.63$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.6 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 606.8$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 550$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 545.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 486$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.05 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked San Diego Padres | 38c | 480.67$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.37 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 469.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 460.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.2 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 460$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 444$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 410$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 409.7$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 401.3$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 399.31$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.31 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 389.18$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 377.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 376.35$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.46 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 368$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked San Diego Padres | 79c | 366.06$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 347.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.83 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 340$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 337$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 335.74$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 334.82$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 333.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 327.37$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 325.53$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.04 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 325.53$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.04 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 320$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 307.6$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 292.66$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.19 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 287.31$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 284$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…b200backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 283.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.76 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 273.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 262.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 239.79$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.69 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 234.12$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.88 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 232.71$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 213.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.